We offer further evidence on the relevance of technical trading in exchange-rate markets using daily data for 95 currencies against the US dollar. To that end, we investigate the profitability of a simple technical trading rule based on Taylor's (1980) price trend model, generating optimal...

We test for the existence of trends in exchange-rate series for 95 currencies against the US dollar. To that end, we make use of Taylor's (1980) price trend model that, instead of focusing on the mean reverting behaviour of exchange rates measured over a long horizon, concentrates on the...

Using a statistical methodology guided only by data and based on a genetic algorithm, we select the best econometric model for explaining the determinants of the size of the shadow economy, its main determinants being: taxes on capital gains of individuals, corporate taxes on income, profits and...

In this article, we show how the concept of balance of payments-constrained growth rate developed by Thirlwall (1979) can be generalized as the growth rate constrained by the balance between any two economic variables. In particular, we derive two new concepts: the government balance-constrained...

In this note the saving-investment correlation is examined in terms of an error correction model, in order to gain some insight into the degree of capital mobility, using Spanish data for the period 1964-1994.

The paper presents the results of applying an indicator of local (daily) volatility, based on the literature on forecasting in nonlinear systems to six EMS currencies, using data for the period January 1974-April 1995.

Based on a data set of 123 economies, this article empirically investigates the relation between exchange-rate regimes and economic growth. We find that growth performance is best under intermediate exchange-rate regimes, while the smallest growth rates are associated with flexible exchange...