Estimates are made of multi-factor versions of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model of the term structure of interest rates using the Kalman filter. Estimates are obtained using weekly UK Gilt-edged market data over the period 1982-1997. Empirical results support the need for a multi-factor model and...

A continuous time interest rate model is estimated using Gaussian estimation methods of Nowman (Journal of Finance, 52, 1695-706, 1997; Asia Pacific Financial Markets, 8, 23-34, 2001) and compare forecasts of interest rates with nonparametric methods on a range of currencies. Generally it is found...

This paper presents implied continuous time lag distributions of the main UK economic variables obtained from recent estimates by Nowman of the Bergstrom, Nowman and Wymer continuous time dynamic macroeconometric model of the UK economy. The lag distributions provide further evidence of the...

Nine continuous time models applied to metal prices are applied, following a recent study of these models on Eurocurrency interest rate data by Nowman (1998). In particular models for copper, gold, nickel, silver and tin are estimated and it is found that the volatility of prices is highly...