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This study examines the existence of nonlinear serial dependence in five stock markets in the Middle East and Africa. The results from the application of a battery of nonlinearity tests reveal that after removing all short-term linear dependence, the stock returns still contain predictable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005468315
Given the growing empirical evidence that returns predictability follows an evolutionary path, it calls into question not only the usefulness of conventional statistical tests of market efficiency as highlighted by Saadi et al. (2006), but also the adequacy of the efficient markets hypothesis to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004992212
The literature on weak-form efficient market hypothesis (EMH) has experienced a phenomenal growth over the past few decades, with the empirical framework mostly directed towards testing the absolute version of market efficiency. Evans (2006) represents a small amount of studies that addressed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004966457
The finding of nonlinear cointegration between Asian exchange rates with the corresponding relative prices and aggregate price levels based on Breitung's (2001) nonparametric rank tests reinforces previous validations of purchasing power parity (PPP) by the parametric testing procedures. Hence,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005265397
The most appropriate approach to test for weak-form market efficiency is to examine whether the stock returns are Martingale Difference Sequence (MDS). However, the MDS tests have been largely ignored by previous studies, as the empirical analysis is dominated by Variance Ratio (VR) tests and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010548860