The export growth-economic growth cointegration structure is investigated for a large sample of low/middle/high income countries, including the newly industrialized ones. Previous Granger causality studies in this area are fundamentally flawed due to the absence of any form of pretesting for...

The foreign exchange market efficiency hypothesis is empirically examined for three major currencies, over the volatile 1980s. The recently available null of cointegration procedure is applied to test for the stationarity of the series under consideration and also for the cointegration status...

The consistency property of a select group of macroeconomic variables, representing both the real and the financial sector of the economy, is re-examined. Consistency is a precondition to rationality in the expectation formation process. The theoretical foundations are similar to those used to...

The rationality of the inflation expectation formation process is examined using the NBER-ASA survey's annual inflation forecasts. The non-stationarity of the relevant series, i.e. the actual (future spot) and the corresponding forecast inflation series allows for the application of...

The validity of the monetary approach as a model of long-run exchange rate determination is examined under both fixed and flexible rate regimes. The powerful KPSS and JJ multivariate cointegration procedures are sequentially applied to test the order of integration and common trends in the...

The foreign exchange market efficiency hypothesis is revisited using the modern Phillips-Hansen Fully Modified Ordinary Least squares (FM-OLS) procedure. It corrects for both endogeneity in the data and asymptotic bias in the coefficient estimates. The volatile decade of the 1980s is the chosen...

The purchasing power parity hypothesis is investigated within a highly economically integrated set of nations, namely the European Monetary System (EMS). The modern Phillips-Hansen Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FM-OLS) procedure is used, which for the first time allows for an...