An unsustainable weakening of credit standards induced a US mortgage and housing bubble whose consumption impact was amplified by innovations altering the collateral role of housing. In countries with more stable credit standards, any overshooting of construction and house prices owed more to...

The U.S. house price boom has been linked to an unsustainable easing of mortgage credit standards. However, standard time series models of US house prices omit credit constraints and perform poorly in the 2000’s. We incorporate data on credit constraints for first time buyers into a model of...

We investigate the univariate procedure used by Ane and Geman (AG, 2000) to recover the moments of the information flow from high-frequency data, in a mixture of distributions model which generalizes the subordinated process in Clark (1973). We explain why the third and higher moments of the...