This article identifies some shortcomings in the tests of the Keynesian hypothesis implemented so far. The previous studies either assume integration between futures and equity markets or rely on a methodology that might produce incorrect inferences regarding the presence of a futures risk...

This paper investigates whether the predictability of futures returns is due to weak-form market inefficiency or to rational variation in the return required by investors over time. Market efficiency is tested with respect to the hypothesis that a conditional multifactor model that allows for...

This article tests the overreaction hypothesis using data from the UK stock market. The study covers a period of 30 years (from 1973 to 2002). The results initially seem to be consistent with the overreaction hypothesis and no obvious seasonal pattern can be identified. Our results do not depend...

Using a linear factor model, we study the behaviour of French, Germany, Italian and British sovereign yield curves in the run up to EMU. This allows us to determine which of these yield curves might best approximate a benchmark yield curve post EMU. We find that the best approximation for the...

This study examines the long-run performance of initial public offerings on the Stock Exchange of Mauritius (SEM). The results show that the 3-year equally weighted cumulative adjusted returns average - 16.5%. The magnitude of this underperformance is consistent with most reported studies in...

If stock and stock index futures markets are functioning properly price movements in these markets should best be described by a first order vector error correction model with the error correction term being the price differential between the two markets (the basis). Recent evidence suggests...

In the absence of market frictions, the cost-of-carry model of stock index futures pricing predicts that returns on the underlying stock index and the associated stock index futures contract will be perfectly contemporaneously correlated. Evidence suggests, however, that this prediction is...