This study develops a multiple-period, competitive rational expectations model for examining how competitive informed traders time their informed trading and how information is incorporated into prices. It is found that informed traders may choose either to trade early or late on their...

This paper presents a formal methodology, using a market-based risk neutral approach, to gauge the credit risk of guarantee issues in a Taiwanese bills finance company. In particular, the probability of default is endogenously determined. Evidence shows that the recovery rate plays an important...