This article studies dependencies between European stock markets when returns are unusually large 'extreme', using daily data on stock market indices for Germany, the UK, France, The Netherlands and Italy from 1973 to 2001. Dependency is measured by the conditional probability of an unusually...

The paper investigates the information content of the German term structure regarding inflation, defined as the ability of the yield curve's slope to predict future changes in inflation rates. The empirical tests show that the German yield curve is informative in that sense, especially in its...