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This paper develops a fully-fledged statistical arbitrage strategy based on a mean-reverting jump-diffusion model and applies it to high-frequency data of the S&P 500 constituents from January 1998-December 2015. In particular, the established stock selection and trading framework identifies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022240
Using option prices, a new method for estimating the term structure of expected stock returns (equity curve) is proposed. We analyse how the equity curve relates to future stock returns and obtain three main results. First, a higher level of the equity curve is associated with higher future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012173992
Financial crisis in 2007–2008 have caused losses to life insurance companies issuing variable annuities with guarantees. This is partly due to failure of variable annuity (VA) issuers to anticipate the large variations in asset prices during the financial crisis times in their pricing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011881290
In this paper, a simple no-arbitrage methodology to estimate option-implied interest rates and dividend yields simultaneously via a regression model is employed. Since the mean-based least squares estimation places equal weights on all data points making it sensitive to outliers, a robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501256
Prior research uses the basic one-period European call-option pricing model to compute default measures for individual firms and concludes that both the size and book-to-market effects are related to default risk. For example, small firms earn higher return than big firms only if they have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022028
Researchers who estimate affine term structure models often impose overidentifying restrictions (restrictions on parameters beyond those necessary for identification) for a variety of reasons. While some of those restrictions seem to have minor effects on the extracted factors and some measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961381
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312207
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003886597
The aim of this paper is the definition of a daily index representing the risk-return on investments in the American film industry. The index should be used to predict the riskiness and the expected return of movie projects at the level of the overall industry and then to determine a premium for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533659
The concern of this article is to derive a regime switching model that can be utilized to price European call options for a financial market that exhibits structural changes with time. The model is formulated based on the fact that the underlying asset process is described by a geometric...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500787