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Sectoral Linkage in the Ethiopian Economy : A Social Accounting Matrix Multiplier Analysis
Kebede, Selamawit; Heshmati, Almas - 2023
This research investigates the Ethiopian economy's sectoral linkages. It examines the forward and backward production and total linkages of the industry with the agriculture and service sectors. The import penetration and export intensity of the agriculture-based industry and the manufacturing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014263919
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Economic policy uncertainty, financial markets and probability of US recessions
Karnizova, Lilia; Li, Jiaxiong - In: Economics letters 125 (2014) 2, pp. 261-265
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010505323
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Does the yield spread retain its forecasting ability during the 2007 recession? : a comparative analysis
Evgenidis, Anastasios; Siriopoulos, Costas - In: Applied economics letters 21 (2014) 10/12, pp. 817-822
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416254
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The "probability of recession" : evaluating probabilistic and non-probabilistic forecasts from probit models of US recessions
Ratcliff, Ryan - In: Economics letters 121 (2013) 2, pp. 311-315
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010347107
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Forecasting US recessions : the role of economic uncertainty
Ercolani, Valerio; Natoli, Filippo - In: Economics letters 193 (2020), pp. 1-5
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012509097
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Long-Term Effects of Recession on Parenthood Gender Inequality
Kim, Jinyoung; Kwak, Eunhye - 2023
against a large cross-sectional dataset from the US, we find that giving birth during a recession reduces mothers' earnings …, whereas fathers remain mostly unaffected. The asymmetric impact of a recession at the time of childbirth persists for a long … time and accounts for 30 40 percent of the after-childbirth gender gap in earnings. Unintended impacts of recession on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355489
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The Dynamics of Entrepreneurship : Hysteresis, Business Cycles and Government Policy
Congregado, Emilio - 2009
This paper estimates an unobserved components model to explore the macro dynamics of entrepreneurship in Spain and the US. We ask whether entrepreneurship exhibits hysteresis, defined as a macro dynamic structure in which cyclical fluctuations have persistent effects on the natural rate of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764085
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The Impact of Aggregate and Sectoral Fluctuations on Training Decisions
Caponi, Vincenzo - 2009
So far the literature has found that the effect of macroeconomic fluctuations on training decisions is ambiguous. On the one hand, the opportunity cost to train is lower during downturns, and thus training should be counter-cyclical. On the other hand, a positive shock may be related to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764575
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Government Deficit Shocks and Okun's Coefficient Volatility : New Insights on the Austerity Versus Growth Debate
Pham, Binh Thai - 2019
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864881
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Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers
Ha, Jongrim - 2020
We develop a new dynamic factor model that allows us to jointly characterize global macroeconomic and financial cycles and the spillovers between them. The model decomposes macroeconomic cycles into the part driven by global and country-specific macro factors and the part driven by spillovers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840446