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policy reaction function is developed which allows for an influence of regional divergence. The empirical tests are based on … offer some first weak support for an impact of regional divergence in ECB decision making. The results further clarify that … concludes that the correct identification of a possible impact of regional divergence is important for the transparency issue. …
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future interest rate, inflation, and output to discover the sources of individual interest rate forecast errors. Based on a …. However, although experts tend to overestimate the impact of inflation on future interest rates, perceptions of monetary … improved communication has reduced disagreement over the ECB's response to expected inflation during the financial crisis …
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In this analysis, the informational content of central bank rhetoric is assessed based on the experience with the ECB since 1999. Among the ECB’s communication channels we focus on the monthly press conferences. Based on a counting of certain signal words we construct a wording indicator...
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cycles or not. Using One-way- and Two-way-Anova techniques the results show that country-specific shocks are important to the … business cycles are possible because persistence in output growth differs across countries. …
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