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This paper develops a fully-fledged statistical arbitrage strategy based on a mean-reverting jump-diffusion model and applies it to high-frequency data of the S&P 500 constituents from January 1998-December 2015. In particular, the established stock selection and trading framework identifies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022240
Using option prices, a new method for estimating the term structure of expected stock returns (equity curve) is proposed. We analyse how the equity curve relates to future stock returns and obtain three main results. First, a higher level of the equity curve is associated with higher future...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012173992
In this paper, we modify Duan’s (1995) local risk-neutral valuation relationship (mLRNVR) for the GARCH option-pricing models. In our mLRNVR, the conditional variances under two measures are designed to be different and the variance process is more persistent in the risk-neutral measure than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174118
Prior research uses the basic one-period European call-option pricing model to compute default measures for individual firms and concludes that both the size and book-to-market effects are related to default risk. For example, small firms earn higher return than big firms only if they have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022028
Researchers who estimate affine term structure models often impose overidentifying restrictions (restrictions on parameters beyond those necessary for identification) for a variety of reasons. While some of those restrictions seem to have minor effects on the extracted factors and some measures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961381
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003886597
The aim of this paper is the definition of a daily index representing the risk-return on investments in the American film industry. The index should be used to predict the riskiness and the expected return of movie projects at the level of the overall industry and then to determine a premium for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533659
In this paper, the Heston-Nandi futures option pricing model is applied to Bitcoin futures options. The model prices are compared to market prices to give an indication of the pricing performance. In addition, a multivariate Bitcoin futures option pricing methodology based on a multivatiate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012588206
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