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markets. We use filtered historical simulations, GARCH models, and stochastic volatility models. The out-of-sample performance … models, we obtain better Value-at-Risk forecasts compared to GARCH. The quality varies over forecasting horizons and across …
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several different multivariate GARCH models (dynamic conditional correlation (DCC), asymmetric DCC (ADCC), generalized … orthogonal GARCH (GO-GARCH)) to estimate minimum variance equity portfolios. Both long and short portfolios are considered. An …
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autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH)–class models in terms of their in-sample and out-of-sample forecasting accuracy … 2015. The results suggest that the Asymmetric Power of ARCH (APARCH) model is the most accurate model in the GARCH class …
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