Disincentives to employment participation arising from the tax-benefit system have been a major concern for welfare reform. Data from the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia Survey are used to generate and test the robustness of three commonly used disincentive measures for...

This paper explores the following question - Has there been any long-run increase (or decrease) in the ‘incidence’ of long-term unemployment once we have corrected for cyclical factors? Our research leads us to conclude that: (i) the incidence of male long-term unemployment has been neither...

The Howard government’s Mutual Obligation reforms have placed greater requirements on job seekers, increased compliance monitoring and imposed harsher penalties for failure. Under the restructured employment service, the Job Network, non government for profit and not for profit organizations...

This paper analyses the ‘risk’ of unemployment of male immigrants to Australia relative to the native born using Wave 1 of HILDA. It exploits the more detailed information in HILDA on individual and parental characteristics that affect labour market outcomes than has been used in previous...

As data from multiple waves of HILDA become available, Australian researchers will be able to study the unemployment spell in detail never before possible, hopefully leading to an improved understanding of the nature and impact of unemployment. This paper makes an initial contribution in...

Using information collected by the 2001 Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) survey, I investigate the factors associated with underemployment, defined as a situation where a part-time employed person would like to work more hours in order to increase income. Multinomial...

In this paper we investigate the behaviour of net flows of persons between employment, unemployment and not in the labour force in Australia between 1979-2003 and the relationship of these flows to changes in the unemployment rate over that period. We find that: flows from unemployment to...

Univariate spectral analysis is used to model seasonally unadjusted quarterly unemployment rate data for Australia, 1978(2) to 2002(3). Data are tested for three categories: persons, males and females. Dynamic out-of-sample forecasts are made for 8 quarters using spectral analysis models...

This paper contains an empirical analysis of gross job flows in Finland and of the factors that explain the extensive withdrawal of older workers from employment in the 1990s in Finland. Job flows are characterised in terms of employee age and education. The outflow of workers from employment...

We explore a new approach to understanding the evolution of the unemployment rate in Australia. Specifically, we use gross worker flows data to study the consequences of assuming that there is no unique equilibrium rate of unemployment but rather a continuum of stochastic equilibrium rates which...