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We develop a tractable model to study the macroeconomic impacts of limited arbitrage by linking arbitrage activities with the macroeconomy through collateralization. We show that the interactions between speculative trading and the business cycle can work as a powerful transmission mechanism,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011626467
We investigate the channel through which fluctuations in the market liquidity of real-sector repo collateral cause arbitrage crashes and failure of systemically important intermediaries during the global financial crisis. Intermediaries pledge productive capital as repo collateral to fund the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011875637
We identify the origin of the contradicting perspectives on credit creation offered by Austrian, Mainstream and Post Keynesian economists as the neglect of the primacy of such assets as goods, properties and securities, which always pre-exist any transaction and loan. We develop a unified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337985
We introduce a novel quantitative methodology to detect real estate bubbles and forecast their critical end time, which we apply to the housing markets of China's major cities. Building on the Log-Periodic Power Law Singular (LPPLS) model of self-reinforcing feedback loops, we use the quantile...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761282
We present a hybrid model for diagnosis and critical time forecasting of real estate bubbles. The model combines two …, 35, and 90 national-level macroeconomic time series and a dynamic forecasting methodology. Empirical results suggests …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411858
Since 2009, stock markets have resided in a long bull market regime. Passive investment strategies have succeeded during this low-volatility growth period. From 2018 on, however, there was a transition into a more volatile market environment interspersed by corrections increasing in amplitude...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012419688
leads to superior multivariate density and Value-at-Risk forecasting, and better portfolio performance. The proposed risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410659
The presence of possible distortions caused by a prolonged period of low interest rates indicates that policymakers should raise interest rates as soon as macroeconomic conditions allow. Low interest rates are good for macroeconomic stability in the short run, but could harm long-run financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008926972
The definition of an internal process to prevent and manage reputational crises is a priority for banks.The Compliance Function can offer a tangible contribution to implement an effective crisis management process.The definition of a contingency plan, of a team of crisis management and of lines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008926978
Which are the functions of a compensation system? How it can be used by a company or a bank as an instrument of human resources management? Which are the relations between remuneration systems and bank performances? Only the answer to these questions can help to redefine and project the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008926980