Issues of inflation measurement are fundamental to the conduct of monetary policy. Price indices form the foundation of central bank policy frameworks around the world. They serve as guides to decision-making, as well as providing the primary mechanism for holding independent policymakers...

Using simple statistical methods, this note examines the relationship between expected and actual inflation and the importance of inflation expectations in driving actual inflation in Asia. We find that, in Asia, short-term inflation expectations tend to co-move among economies while...

This paper explores the behaviour of inflation forecasts from a variety of sources (ie Consensus and other professional forecasters, international and domestic financial institutions, central banks) with the aim of measuring the size and evolution of forecast disagreements and their proximate...

Until the global financial crisis of 2008–09, central banks celebrated the achievement of lower and more stable inflation rates. With a few exceptions, this accomplishment was a global one. Motivated by concerns over whether the relentless easing of policy in economies most stricken by the US...

This paper summarises ongoing work that investigates the pass-through from shorthorizon and long-horizon inflation forecasts as a way to assess the anchoring of inflation expectations across a sample of 44 economies. It reports an overall decline in the pass-through, with the share of economies...

We investigate the effects of aging on inflation through the labour market. More specifically, we question whether the weakness of wage inflation over the last decade reflects, at least partially, the increase of labour supply by baby boomers.The post 2013 recovery of advanced economies has not...

In this paper, James investigates the evolution of the degree of the pass-through of short-term inflation forecasts to long-term inflation forecasts by using professional forecaster survey data and finds the anchoring of inflation expectations is stronger in many of the sample economies in...

The United Arab Emirates (UAE), as a small economy with an open capital account and pegged foreign exchange rate regime, has limited scope for exerting an independent monetary policy. More specifically, given that its key policy objective is to maintain a stable peg with US dollar, domestic...

Acting in parallel with changes in Thailand's inflation dynamics, the fall in inflation and inflation variability is a worldwide phenomenon that has coincided with accelerating globalisation. This paper explains that global factors have played an important role in changing the dynamics of...