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The remarkable stability of low domestic inflation in many countries requires explanation. In this paper, a number of … continuing low inflation, but also its coexistence with rapid growth and low real interest rates. Unfortunately, the analysis … also leads to the conclusion that rising inflation, unwinding financial imbalances, or both, could easily follow the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014218878
There has been mounting evidence that the inflation process has been changing. Inflation is now much lower and much … more effective. There is no doubt in our mind that this explanation goes a long way towards explaining the better inflation …. We argue that prevailing models of inflation are too country-centric, in the sense that they fail to take sufficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224261
-term inflation target to help anchor expectations. This paper aims to document how much the release of the forecasts of one major … central bank, the Bank of Japan (BOJ), has influenced private sector expectations of inflation, and whether the degree of … influence depends to any degree on the adoption of an inflation target (IT). Consistent with earlier studies, we find the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012982425
reaction function. The parameter estimates differ in two regards: the NEER responds to inflation in Singapore but not in Hong … variability of inflation has been lower in Singapore, but the volatility of real economic activity has been similar in the two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012711720
relation holds for food inflation. That is, broader economic overheating does push up the food component of the CPI in a … systematic way. Further, general inflation expectations from professional forecasters clearly impact food price inflation. The … analysis also quantifies the extent to which higher food production and imports, or lower food exports, reduce food inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014264790
Over the past 15 years there has been remarkable progress in the specification and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Central banks in developed and emerging market economies have become increasingly interested in their usefulness for policy analysis and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014214942
The recent global financial crisis has led central banks to rely heavily on "unconventional" monetary policies. This alternative approach to policy has generated much discussion and a heated and at times confusing debate. The debate has been complicated by the use of different definitions and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153793
Following the experience of the global financial crisis, central banks have been asked to undertake unprecedented responsibilities. Governments and the public appear to have high expectations that monetary policy can provide solutions to problems that do not necessarily fit in the realm of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060232
though their ultimate impact on output and inflation is harder to pin down; the balance of the benefits and costs is likely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986632
In this paper we analyse developments in the composition of central bank balance sheets for a large set of central banks in a unified framework. Since 2007, central banks in advanced economies have experienced pronounced changes in balance sheet composition as a consequence of unconventional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994818