To develop forecasting procedures with a forward-looking dynamic general equilibrium model, we built a small New-Keynesian model and calibrated it to euro area data.It was essential in this context that we allowed for long-run growth in GDP.We brought additional asset price equations based on...

We study the effect of the zero bound constraint of interest rates on international transmission of economic policy and supply shocks. After some preliminary analysis with a simple theoretical model, we apply a rich two-country simulation model to the problem.The model framework consists of...

We present a two country DGE model and estimate it using Bayesian techniques and euro area and US quarterly data for 1977 2004. In analysing the current accounts we find that a lower US rate of time preference or a higher dollar risk premium could render the deficit sustainable, but that these...