Showing 1 - 10 of 25
This paper addresses the challenge of inflation forecasting by adopting a thick modeling approach that integrates forecasts from time- and frequency-domain models. Frequency-domain models excel at capturing long-term trends while also accounting for short-term fluctuations. Combining these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015164409
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009790535
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011475758
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721190
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009782603
Predictability is time and frequency dependent. We propose a new forecasting method - forecast combination in the frequency domain - that takes this fact into account. With this method we forecast the equity premium and real GDP growth rate. Combining forecasts in the frequency domain produces...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013485890
Optimal monetary policy studies typically rely on a single structural model and identification of model-specific rules that minimize the unconditional volatilities of inflation and real activity. In our proposed approach, we take a large set of structural models and look for the model-robust...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014364060
We offer a contribution to the analysis of optimal monetary policy. The standard approach to determine what policy rule a central bank should follow is to take a single structural model and minimize the unconditional volatilities of inflation and real activity. In this paper, we propose monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015181886
We introduce a frequency-domain forecast combination method that leverages time- and frequencydependent predictability to enhance forecast accuracy. By decomposing both the target variables (equity premium and real GDP growth) and predictor variables into distinct frequency components, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015135324
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009741388