A prolonged period of low inflation, particularly in a situation of monetary policy rates near the zero lower bound, can heighten the risk of inflation expectations de-anchoring from the central bank objective. The purpose of this paper is to assess the effects of a sequence of deflationary...

This paper examines the causes of the exceptionally marked fall in non-construction investment in Italy since 2007. Non-financial private services were the main driver of the decline in the aggregate investment rate, but all sectors weighed in negatively; the reallocation of value added away...

Italian Abstract: Il lavoro analizza l’impatto macroeconomico della crisi del debito sovrano, mediante un’analisi controfattuale realizzata con il modello econometrico della Banca d’Italia. Rispetto a uno scenario di “assenza di crisi” si valuta che: (i) la perdita di PIL ammonterebbe...