Showing 1 - 10 of 157
This paper aims at evaluating the impact of globalization, if any, on inflation and the inflation process. We estimate … commodity import price inflation on CPI inflation depends on the volume of commodity imports while the impact of non …-commodity import price inflation is independent of the volume of non-commodity imports. Second, focusing on the role of intra …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038572
the interaction between partial indexation and trend inflation. We show that using a hybrid version of the Phillips curve … partly decreases the risks of overestimate due to the omission of trend inflation. We also provide new evidence on the fit of …) forgetting trend inflation induces overestimating by approximately 3-4 percent of the probability to not change the price, for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136220
In this paper, we seek to estimate the sacrifice ratio of the euro area using a small DSGE model where prices and wages are sticky. We estimate model's parameters so as to minimize the distance between VAR-based and model-based covariances of a set of variables. The estimated value of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136865
, while those using GMM have reported the inflation dynamics to be predominantly forward-looking. This paper provides a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014187933
This paper uses disaggregated CPI time series to show that a break in the mean of French inflation occurred in the mid … mean break, both aggregate and sectoral inflation persistence are stable and low, with the unit root lying far in the tail … price changes (at the firm level) appears positively related with inflation persistence (at the aggregate level) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136228
In this paper, we study the fit and the predictive performance of the Phillips curve for euro area inflation with … regard to different inflation series, time periods and predictor variables, notably different global factors. We compare the … prices, global consumer inflation, global economic slack and foreign demand. We find that traditional global indicators such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926349
This paper proposes an empirical investigation of the impact of oil price forecast errors on inflation forecast errors … for two different sets of recent forecasts data: the median of SPF inflation forecasts for the U.S. and the Central Bank … inflation forecasts for France. Mainly two salient points emerge from our results. First, there is a significant contribution of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043378
This paper shows that the change in the occupational composition of the labor market in favour of non-routine jobs -i.e. job polarization- flattens the price Phillips Curve (PC). Using data from the European Monetary Union and exploiting the fact that job polarization accelerates during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222007
This paper challenges the assumption that the inflation process within the euro area is well-described by a linear … Phillips curve and investigates in a nonparametric framework how inflation is sensitive to output growth. An asymmetric output-inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136535
The sensitivity of inflation to domestic slack has declined in developed countries since the mid-1980s. This article … domestic inflation reacting less to real activity fluctuations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977248