We extend the benchmark model of Aghion and Blanchard (1994) assuming two segments of the emerging private sector that differ in workers' productivity. We look at the paths of employment, wages, taxes, labor costs and profits during and after the transition, up until the shock is fully absorbed....

This study estimates the expected long-term budgetary benefits to investing into Roma education in Hungary. By budgetary benefits we mean the direct financial benefits to the national budget. The main idea is that investing extra public money into Roma education would pay off even in fiscal...

By making use of Duncan & Hoffman's empirical model, the economic returns to overeducation and undereducation are estimated using comparable microdata from the middle of the 2000s for 25 European countries. The estimates confirm some of the main results found in the literature. The wage premium...

The paper investigates exit probabilities of registered unemployed to active labour market programmes using administrative records from the unemployment register of the Hungarian National Labour Centre. We estimate parametric duration models that summarise variation in exit probabilities with...

The study presents a comprehensive overview of labour market forecasting activities, mostly quantitative, based on multi-sector models, in 12 countries and the European Union. The principal aim of this effort is to provide ideas, lessons and benchmarks for similar forecasting exercises in...