Showing 1 - 10 of 18
effects of uncertainty shocks on inflation. We find the response of inflation to be statistically insignificant until mid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014090743
Analysis of the Michigan Survey data confirms U.S. inflation expectations are not perfectly anchored in the event of an … oil price shock. Two key results emerge through counterfactual analysis. First, better anchoring of inflation expectations … can ameliorate the mild inflation impact which occurs 10 to 12 months after an oil price shock. Second, an initial large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006362
stability. This paper investigates the effects of commodity price shocks on headline inflation with a monthly panel consisting … of 144 countries. We find that the effects of commodity price shocks on inflation virtually disappear within about one … fairly robust, suggesting a low risk of a persistent second-round effect on inflation. Employing the smooth transition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951603
shocks reduces the sensitivity of inflation to changes in aggregate demand. We test and corroborate the theoretical … significant role for the decline in the sensitivity of inflation to movements in aggregate demand from mid-1980s to mid-2000s …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013241100
channel effect during periods of high financial stress implies the existence of a short run output-inflation trade off during …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992677
We assess the effects of financial shocks on inflation, and to what extent financial shocks can account for the … shocks through sign restrictions. Our main finding is that expansionary financial shocks temporarily lower inflation. This … during the crisis. We then explore the transmission channels of financial shocks relevant for inflation, and find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012984047
The seven largest emerging market economies - China, India, Brazil, Russia, Mexico, Indonesia, and Turkey - constituted more than one-quarter of global output and more than half of global output growth during 2010-15. These emerging markets, which we call EM7, are also closely integrated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956814
Various papers have identified shocks to investment as major drivers of output, investment, hours, and interest rates. These investment shocks have been linked to financial frictions because financial markets are instrumental in transforming consumption goods into installed capital. However, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105098
associated with significant increases in Japan's industrial production, exports and inflation, and decreases in the trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059432
The empirical support for a DSGE type of real business cycle model with two technology shocks is evaluated using a Bayesian model averaging procedure that makes use of a finite mixture of many models within the class of vector autoregressive (VAR) processes. The linear VAR model is extended to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110953