We investigate the macroeconomic consequences of fluctuations in the effectiveness of the labor-market matching process with a focus on the Great Recession. We conduct our analysis in the context of an estimated medium-scale DSGE model with sticky prices and equilibrium search unemployment that...

Cointegration ideas as introduced by Granger (1981) are commonly embodied in empirical macroeconomic modelling through the vector error correction model (VECM). It has also become common practice in these models to treat some variables as weakly exogenous, resulting in conditional VECMs. This...

Cointegration ideas as introduced by Granger in 1981 are commonly embodied in empirical macroeco- nomic modelling through the vector error correction model (VECM). It has become common practice in these models to treat some variables as weakly exogenous, resulting in conditional VECMs. This...

To what extent did deviations from the Taylor rule between 2002 and 2006 help to promote price stability and maximum sustainable employment? To address that question, this paper estimates a New Keynesian model with unemployment and performs a counterfactual experiment where monetary policy...

Cointegration ideas as introduced by Granger (1981) are commonly embodied in empirical macroeconomic modelling through the vector error correction model (VECM). It has also become common practice in these models to treat some variables as weakly exogenous, resulting in conditional VECMs. This...

To what extent did deviations from the Taylor rule between 2002 and 2006 help to promote price stability and maximum sustainable employment? To address that question, this paper estimates a New Keynesian model with unemployment and performs a counterfactual experiment where monetary policy...

Cointegration ideas as introduced by Granger in 1981 are commonly embodied in empirical macroeco- nomic modelling through the vector error correction model (VECM). It has become common practice in these models to treat some variables as weakly exogenous, resulting in conditional VECMs. This...

Recent literature has focuses on realized volatility models to predict financial risk. This paper studies the benefit of explicitly modeling jumps in this class of models for value at risk (VaR) prediction. Several popular realized volatility models are compared in terms of their VaR forecasting...

We provide heterogenous agent foundations for regime-switching tests of asset price bubbles, and illustrate by applying the models to historical U.S. stock market data. While the tests remain unchanged, we show the specification of regimes can be based on the beliefs of investors that come from...

We introduce a new class of models that has both stochastic volatility and moving average errors, where the conditional mean has a state space representation. Having a moving average component, however, means that the errors in the measurement equation are no longer serially independent, and...