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Evidence of stock return predictability by financial ratios is still controversial as documented by inconsistent results for in-sample and out-of-sample regressions as well as substantial parameter instability. This paper shows that these seemingly incompatible results can be reconciled if the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661523
than out-of-sample tests. We provide an alternative explanation based on the higher power of in-sample tests of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124323
We examine a two country model of the EU and the US. Each has a small sector of the labour and product markets in which there is wage/price rigidity, but otherwise enjoys flexible wages and prices with a one quarter information lag. Using a VAR to represent the data, we find the model as a whole...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973965
). We find that both tests have power so that a substantially false model will tend to be rejected by both; but that the … power of the indirect inference test is by far the greater, necessitating re-estimation to ensure that the model is tested …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011165662
find that it performs accurately and has good power. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083255
common low frequency approach. We also show that the mixed frequency causality tests have higher local asymptotic power as … well as more power in finite samples compared to conventional tests. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083986
(using the Likelihood Ratio), and on the Del Negro-Schorfheide DSGE-VAR weight. We find that the power of all three tests is … substantial so that a false model will tend to be rejected by all three; but that the power of the indirect inference tests are by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084212
We examine whether by adding a credit channel to the standard New Keynesian model we can account better for the behaviour of US macroeconomic data up to and including the banking crisis. We use the method of indirect inference which evaluates statistically how far a model’s simulated behaviour...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084294
We examine the effects of mixed sampling frequencies and temporal aggregation on standard tests for cointegration. We find that the effects of aggregation on the size of the tests may be severe. Matching sampling schemes of all series generally reduces size, and the nominal size is obtained when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084358
Carlo study we find that the test based on the steady-state distribution performs well and has high power even with small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084649