Gürkaynak, Refet S.; Kisacikoglu, Burçin; Rossi, Barbara - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2013
Recently, it has been suggested that macroeconomic forecasts from estimated DSGE models tend to be more accurate out …-of-sample than random walk forecasts or Bayesian VAR forecasts. Del Negro and Schorfheide(2013) in particular suggest that the DSGE … Smets and Wouters DSGE model with that of several reduced form time series models. We first demonstrate that none of the …