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We examine the role of expectations in the Great Moderation episode. We derive theoretical restrictions in a New-Keynesian model and test them using measures of expectations obtained from survey data, the Greenbook and bond markets. Expectations explain the dynamics of inflation and interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008557017
related models in the literature, we find that under constant returns to scale in production: (i) indeterminacy always …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791785
fiscal policy rule, steady state indeterminacy may arise as a result of endogenous labor income tax rates. In this paper, it … ranges of indeterminacy shrink, thus reducing the possibility of aggregate instability. From a policy perspective, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792344
. We find that indeterminacy emerges for empirically plausible values of the parameters, compatible with a downward …-sloping marginal productivity of labour curve. Moreover, we show that indeterminacy and Hopf bifurcations are possible with an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504720
generation EBC1 models to second generation EBC2 models. I argue that EBC1 models, which display dynamic indeterminacy, are part … steady-state indeterminacy, are a more radical departure from the classical Real Business Cycle model; they represent a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084345
) income and consumption taxation, on the emergence of indeterminacy. We find that what is relevant for indeterminacy is the … and its variability under which indeterminacy occurs. Moreover, in contrast to previous results, we find that consumption … taxes can lead to local indeterminacy when asset markets are segmented. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067432
persistence than standard RBC models and can exhibit indeterminacy of rational expectation paths without increasing returns in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661471
of equilibrium indeterminacy, liberalization of capital movements is likely to be accompanied by persistent fluctuations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666695
The Paper finds empirical evidence on the ripple effect of sunspots on the interwar German economy. It identifies a sequence of negative shocks to expectations for the 1927-32 period. The artificial economy predicts the 1928-32 depression and a long boom from 1933 onwards. Overall, a tangible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005667073
The Paper approaches business cycles in terms of extrinsic uncertainty related, not to dynamic indeterminacy of … static indeterminacy of free entry oligopolistic equilibria within each period. We consider an OLG economy in which firms … dynamic indeterminacy, we can weaken the condition on the degree of increasing returns, which may be arbitrarily small (with a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789194