This paper models Chinese inflation using an output gap Phillips curve. Inflation modelling for the world’s sixth … curve for China and show that the output gap, the exchange rate, and inflation expectations play important roles in … explaining inflation. We adjust for structural change in the economy where possible and estimate regressions for rolling sample …

from disturbances to the money market, the variance of output is shown to be an increasing function of the trend inflation … inflation rate. When both disturbances are significant, there exists, in general, a critical non-zero trend inflation rate that …

and its implications for US output, hours and inflation. Second we evaluate the extent to which those responses can be … the Fed’s policy tended to over stabilize output at the cost of generating excessive inflation volatility. Our evidence …

The New-Keynesian Taylor-Rule model of inflation determination with no role for money is incomplete. As Cochrane (2007a … invoked if inflation misbehaved. Thus we answer the criticisms levelled at the Taylor Rule that it has no credible mechanism …

much sharper rise in inflation than measured by the official price indices, whose quality was called into question. In this … determinants. Since these data do not rely on official inflation statistics, they provide an independent check for the latter. We … not recorded by official inflation statistics. We do not find evidence in support of this hypothesis. …

producers. I apply these results to a model of inflation. I find that the model can fit the quantitative facts on post …-war inflation remarkably well, that it is a good forecaster of future inflation, and that it survives the Lucas critique by fitting … also the pre-war facts on inflation moderately well. …

the primary deficit with future values of inflation, interest rates, GDP and narrow money growth and changes in the … through adjustments in the primary deficit (80-100%), with less substantial roles being played by inflation (0-10%) and GDP … growth (0-20%). Focusing on the relation between fiscal imbalances and inflation suggests extremely modest interactions. This …