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interactions. Despite the fact that the rational expectations equilibrium (REE) is characterized by a simple pricing rule that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005661497
Labor market programs may affect unemployed individuals’ behavior before they enroll. Such ex ante effects may differ according to ethnic origin. We apply a novel method that relates self-reported perceived treatment rates and job search behavioral outcomes, such as the reservation wage or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861905
We study a model where some investors (“hedgers”) are bad at information processing, while others (“speculators”) have superior information-processing ability and trade purely to exploit it. The disclosure of financial information induces a trade externality: if speculators refrain from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083365
expectations equilibrium due to successive waves of optimism and pessimism. We demonstrate how this heterogeneous-beliefs model can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083418
Under rational expectations monetary policy is generally highly effective in stabilizing the economy. Aggregate demand … management operates through the expectations hypothesis of the term structure --- anticipated movements in future short … incomplete markets. In this environment the expectations hypothesis of the yield curve need not hold, a situation called …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083648
Agents have two forecasting models, one consistent with the unique rational expectations equilibrium, another that … the degree of expectations feedback in Muth's model of price determination. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083791
I develop a model of (individually rational) collective reality denial in groups, organizations and markets. Whether participants' tendencies toward wishful thinking reinforce or dampen each other is shown to hinge on a simple and novel mechanism. When an agent can expect to benefit from other's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666620
asset price behaviour, since the algorithm converges relatively fast to rational expectations. On the other hand, constant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005789201
A central tenet of inflation targeting is that establishing and maintaining well-anchored inflation expectations are … public forms expectations and policymakers must formulate and implement monetary policy. Using an estimated model of the U ….S. economy, we show that monetary policy rules that would perform well under the assumption of rational expectations can perform …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791794
Instrumental variable estimation requires untestable exclusion restrictions. With policy effects on individual outcomes, there is typically a time interval between the moment the agent realizes that he may be exposed to the policy and the actual exposure or the announcement of the actual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792073