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effort and benefit sanctions if observed search is deemed insufficient. We find that introducing monitoring and sanctions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498018
We model how unemployment benefit sanctions - benefit reductions that are imposed if unemployed do not comply with job … benefit sanctions are more effective in reducing unemployment than an across the board reduction in the replacement rate. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067430
This Paper presents the results of an experimental study on unemployment benefit sanctions. The experimental set …-up allows us to distinguish between the effects of benefit sanctions once they are imposed (the ex post effect) and the effects … that discourage the unemployed from risking benefit sanctions (the ex ante effect). We find that both effects matter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791743
Models with externalities have become increasingly popular for studying both long-term growth and business-cycle fluctuations. Externalities can lead to indeterminacy, allowing self-fulfilling expectations to determine the equilibrium. This paper argues that the importance of indeterminacy might...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504588
We examine a two country model of the EU and the US. Each has a small sector of the labour and product markets in which there is wage/price rigidity, but otherwise enjoys flexible wages and prices with a one quarter information lag. Using a VAR to represent the data, we find the model as a whole...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973965
Using Monte Carlo experiments, we examine the performance of indirect inference tests of DSGE models in small samples, using various models in widespread use. We compare these with tests based on direct inference (using the Likelihood Ratio). We find that both tests have power so that a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011165662
We extend the method of indirect inference testing to data that is not filtered and so may be non-stationary. We apply the method to an open economy real businss cycle model on UK data. We review the method using a Monte Carlo experiment and find that it performs accurately and has good power.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083255
This lecture is about how best to evaluate economic theories in macroeconomics and finance, and the lessons that can be learned from the past use and misuse of evidence. It is argued that all macro/finance models are `false' so should not be judged solely on the realism of their assumptions. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083483
We introduce professional financial advice in households’ choice to hold risky financial assets. Consistent with the predictions from a formal model, we present evidence that households’ trust in financial advice only matters when their perceived own financial capability is low. Instead, for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084072
Using Monte Carlo experiments, we examine the performance of Indirect Inference tests of DSGE models, usually versions of the Smets-Wouters New Keynesian model of the US postwar period. We compare these with tests based on direct inference (using the Likelihood Ratio), and on the Del...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084212