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Both empirical evidence and theoretical discussion have long emphasized the impact of `news' on exchange rates. In most exchange rate models, the exchange rate acts as an asset price, and as such responds to news about future returns on assets. But the exchange rate also plays a role in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666551
This paper assesses whether the international monetary system is already tri-polar and centred around the US dollar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009371469
While the global financial crisis was centered in the United States, it led to a surprising appreciation in the dollar …, suggesting global dollar illiquidity. In response, the Federal Reserve partnered with other central banks to inject dollars into …. Theory consistent with dollar appreciation in the crisis suggests that their impact should be greater for countries that have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293988
When Argentine sovereign default in December 2001 led to a collapse of the peso, the burden of dollar debt became … dollar. In this paper a bargaining approach is used to explain both the settlement and the delay. We conclude that the agreed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504331
world (Fed) interest rate. This new regime, with exchange rate flexibility, generates sufficient short term volatility that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124404
How much of carry trade excess returns can be explained by the presence of disaster risk? To answer this question, we propose a simple structural model that includes both Gaussian and disaster risk premia and can be estimated even in samples that do not contain disasters. The model points to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016245
As the European Community (EC) unifies its financial markets and fixes its exchange rates, the EFTA countries are liberalizing capital movements to the same extent. The EFTA countries thus face a decision on financial markets and exchange rate policy: should they essentially join the European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504364
We examine the effects of endogenously determined realignment expectations in a model of a target zone with sluggish price adjustment. We allow these expectations to be based on a policy rule which attaches differing weights to output and price stability. We find that for realistic parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504430
This paper looks at the responsiveness of a country's export supply to exchange rate changes and measures its quantitative importance by breaking down export adjustments between changes in output levels by existing exporters (intensive margin) and movements due to changes in the number of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504782
If the third stage of monetary union in Europe begins on 1 January 1999, not all EU countries will participate: two, with opt-out clauses, may choose to stay out; others will have a derogation because they do not fulfil the required conditions. The Maastricht Treaty, while silent on the regime...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497702