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Reasons for the Demise of Interest : Savings Glut and Secular Stagnation or Central Bank Policy?

Schnabl, Gunther - 2019

for the future (global savings glut). Low growth is linked to slowing population growth and a declining marginal …, from the perspective of Austrian business cycle theory, interest rates were step by step decreased by central banks to … nihilo and the need of time to produce capital invalidates the IS identity assumed in the Keynesian theory to hold …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012858697

Does U.S. Monetary Policy Respond to Macroeconomic Uncertainty?

Gomez, Thomas; Piccillo, Giulia - 2023

We find that macroeconomic uncertainty plays a significant role in U.S. monetary policy. First, we construct a measure of uncertainty as felt by policymakers at the time of making their rate-setting decisions. This measure is derived from a real-time, Bayesian estimation of a small monetary VAR...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357029

Uncertainty and Monetary Policy During Extreme Events

Pellegrino, Giovanni - 2020

How damaging are uncertainty shocks during extreme events such as the great recession and the Covid-19 outbreak? Can monetary policy limit output losses in such situations? We use a nonlinear VAR framework to document the large response of real activity to a financial uncertainty shock during...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822498

Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty

Bauer, Michael - 2019

This paper investigates the role of monetary policy uncertainty for the transmission of FOMC actions to financial markets using a novel model-free measure of uncertainty based on derivative prices. We document a systematic pattern in monetary policy uncertainty over the course of the FOMC...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871021

Uncertainty and Monetary Policy During the Great Recession

Pellegrino, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem; Caggiano, Giovanni - 2021

We employ a nonlinear VAR framework and a state-of-the-art identification strategy to document the large response of real activity to a financial uncertainty shock during and in the aftermath of the great recession. We replicate this evidence with an estimated DSGE framework featuring a concept...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235107

Business cycle dynamics of a new Keynesian overlapping generations model with progressive income taxation

Heer, Burkhard; Maußner, Alfred - 2006

In our dynamic optimizing sticky price model, agents are heterogeneous with regard to their age and their productivity. We find that the business cycle dynamics in the OLG model in response to both a technology shock and a monetary shock are similar, but not completely identical to those found...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261430

Uncertainty, wage setting and decision making in a monetary union

Hefeker, Carsten - 2005

The enlargement of the European Monetary Union is likely to lead to an increase in uncertainty regarding the transmission of monetary policy for the larger union. Adding new members to the central bank council will in addition imply that the policy reaction of the enlarged council will be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261289

Uncertainty and fiscal policy in an asymmetric monetary union

Hefeker, Carsten; Zimmer, Blandine - 2008

The paper examines the monetary-fiscal interactions in a monetary union model with uncertainty due to imperfect central bank transparency. We first show that monetary uncertainty disciplines fiscal policymakers and thereby reduces taxes, average inflation and output distortions. However, as more...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264429

Monetary policy and redistribution: What can or cannot be neutralized with Mirrleesian taxes

Gahvari, Firouz; Micheletto, Luca - 2012

This paper develops an overlapping-generations model with heterogeneous agents in terms of earning ability and cash-in-advance constraint. It shows that tax policy cannot fully replicate or neutralize the redistributive implications of monetary policy. While who gets the extra money becomes...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280805

Inequality and the Zero Lower Bound

Fernández-Villaverde, Jesús; Marbet, Joël; Nuño, Galo; … - 2023

, changes in the monetary policy stance influence households’ precautionary savings by altering the frequency of ZLB events. As …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348051