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deviation (in beliefs, utility, or perceived prices) is within e of expected utility theory. The number e can then be used as a … distance to the theory. We apply our methodology to three recent large-scale experiments. Many subjects in those experiments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892237
This paper analyzes the stability and distribution of ambiguity attitudes using a broad population sample. Using high-powered incentives, we collected six waves of data on ambiguity attitudes about financial markets—our main application—and climate change. Estimating a structural stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241994
In an experiment that elicits subjects’ willingness to pay (WTP) for the outcome of a lottery, we confirm the fourfold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077011
Bayesian updating is the dominant theory of learning. However, the theory is silent about how individuals react to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227484
In this paper we use the property that certainty equivalence, as implied by a first-order approximation to the solution of stochastic discrete-time models, breaks in its equivalent continuous-time version. We study the extent to which a first-order approximated solution built by perturbation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834991
The quasi-linear quadratic utility model is widely used in economics. The knowledge of its exact origin is less widespread. A first contribution of the paper is to explain the genesis of this model. Next, we review the main properties of the general model, mainly following the previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866406
Two non-transitive theories to model decision making under risk are regret theory (Loomes and Sugden, 1982, 1987) and … salience theory (Bordalo, Gennaioli, and Shleifer, 2012). While the psychological underpinning of these two approaches is … of choice behavior. We investigate the overlap between these theories and show that original regret theory (Loomes and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850081
both sophisticated and naive procrastinators to reduce time-inconsistent behavior. A field experiment on exercising …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308244
When agents’ information is imperfect and dispersed, existing measures of macroeconomic uncertainty based on the forecast error variance have two distinct drivers: the variance of the economic shock and the variance of the information dispersion. The former driver increases uncertainty and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348100
Whether people seek or avoid risks on gambling, insurance, asset, or labor markets crucially depends on the skewness of … skewed risks. We show that salience theory of choice under risk can explain this preference for positive skewness, because … unlikely, but outstanding payoffs attract attention. In contrast to alternative models, however, salience theory predicts that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892170