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Liberalization and Stock Market Co-Movement between Emerging Economies

Beine, Michel; Candelon, Bertrand - 2021

reforms which aim at opening these countries to trade and financial channels to the rest of the world. The estimation of time …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316796

Fractional integration and cointegration in US financial time series data

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alana, Luis A. - 2011

This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The univariate analysis based on fractional integration aims to determine whether the series are I(1) (in which case markets might be efficient) or alternatively I(d) with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274802

Forecasting random walks under drift instability

Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem; Pick, Andreas - 2008

This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276222

Interest Rate Linkages in EMU Countries : A Rolling Threshold Vector Error-Correction Approach

Poghosyan, Tigran; Haan, Jakob de - 2021

This paper revisits financial market integration in the European Economic and Monetary Union, using a threshold vector error-correction model (TVECM) for a fixed rolling window. This approach enables us to analyze the dynamics of transaction costs and detect any co-movements with (policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316906

Labour Market Rigidities, Financial Integration and International Risk Sharing in the OECD

Fidrmuc, Jarko; Foster-McGregor, Neil; Scharler, Johann - 2021

Economic theory predicts that consumption growth rates should be highly correlated across countries. Empirical evidence overwhelmingly rejects this prediction. We examine whether increased financial integration and labour market rigidities can help explain this apparent contradiction between...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317001

Persistence, Non-Linearities and Structural Breaks in European Stock Market Indices

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2019

This paper examines persistence, structural breaks and non-linearities in the case of five European stock market indices, namely the FTSE100 (UK), DAX30 (Germany), CAC40 (France), IBEX35 (Spain) and FTSE MIB40 (Italy), using fractional integration methods. The empirical results provide no...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866377

Cycles and Long-Range Behaviour in the European Stock Market

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2019

This paper uses a modelling framework which includes two singularities (or poles) in the spectral density function, one corresponding to the long-run (zero) frequency and the other to the cyclical (non-zero) frequency. The adopted specification is very general, since it allows for fractional...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859046

Persistence in the Realized Betas : Some Evidence for the Spanish Stock Market

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2020

This paper examines the stochastic behaviour of the realized betas within the one-factor CAPM for the six companies with the highest market capitalization included in the Spanish IBEX stock market index. Fractional integration methods are applied to estimate their degree of persistence at the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838240

Long Run and Cyclical Dynamics in the U.S. Stock Market

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2021

This paper examines the long-run dynamics and the cyclical structure of various series related to the US stock market using fractional integration. We implement a procedure which enables one to consider unit roots with possibly fractional orders of integration both at the zero (long-run) and the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316966

The Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Markets, CDS and Economic Activity : Time-Varying Evidence from the US and Europe

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Catik, A. Nazif; Helmi, … - 2021

This paper examines the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on stock returns, CDS and economic activity in the US and the five European countries (the UK, Germany, France, Italy, and Spain) which have been most affected. The sample period covers the dates from the first confirmed COVID-19 cases in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211119