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On Optimal Currency Areas and Common Cycles : Are the Acceding Countries Ready to Join the Euro?

Grimm, Louisa; Steinkamp, Sven; Westermann, Frank - 2021

The former EU president Jean-Claude Junker has proposed that all countries of the European Union should also adopt the euro as their currency and recent research has shown that countries currently pursuing this goal indeed fulfill the classical Optimal Currency Area (OCA) criterion of positively...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232406

The Euro Area Government Spending Multiplier in Demand- and Supply-Driven Recessions

Di Serio, Mario; Fragetta, Matteo; Gasteiger, Emanuel; … - 2022

We estimate government spending multipliers in demand- and supply-driven recessions for the Euro Area. Multipliers in a moderately demand-driven recession are 2-3 times larger than in a moderately supply-driven recession, with the difference between multipliers being non-zero with very high...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292507

The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy

Görtz, Christoph - 2019

A VAR model estimated on U.S. data before and after 1980 documents systematic differences in the response of short- and long-term interest rates, corporate bond spreads and durable spending to news TFP shocks. Interest rates across the maturity spectrum broadly increase in the pre-1980s and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889175

Business Cycle Narratives

Larsen, Vegard - 2019

Research about narratives’ role in economics is scarce, while real word experience and research in other sciences suggest they matter a lot. This article proposes a view and methodology for quantifying the epidemiology of media narratives relevant to business cycles in the US, Japan, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892114

Collective Memories on the 2010 European Debt Crisis

Arnemann, Laura; Konrad, Kai A.; Potrafke, Niklas - 2021

We examine whether collective memories on the aid&reform programs chosen to handle the 2010 European debt crisis differ between citizens from borrower and lender countries. We use new international survey data for non-experts and experts in member countries of the euro area. The results show...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250727

The Euro Exchange Rate and Germany's Trade Surplus

Hohberger, Stefan - 2019

We estimate a three-region (DE-REA-RoW) structural macroeconomic model, and we provide a counterfactual on how nominal exchange rate flexibility would have affected the German trade balance (TB) by simulating the shocks of the estimated model under a counterfactual flexible exchange rate regime....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890627

Private Bank Deposits and Macro/Fiscal Risk in the Euro-Area

Arghyrou, Michael - 2019

We examine the relationship between private bank deposits and macro/fiscal risk in the euro area. We test three hypotheses: First, private bank deposits relative to Germany are determined by macro/fiscal risk factors. Second, this relationship is time-varying. Third, time-variation is driven by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891054

What Do Central Bankers Do? Evidence from the European Central Banks' Executive Board

Badinger, Harald - 2019

This paper examines how managers at the top of a public institution, central bank executives, allocate their working time. Using detailed information from personal diaries of the six members of the European Central Bank’s Executive Board over a period of two years, we codify and analyze more...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892122

57 Channels (and Nothin on) - Does TV-News on the Eurozone Affect Government Bond Yield Spreads?

Wolfinger, Julia - 2019

news shows of leading TV stations in 12 countries which include 37,859 news on the EU, on the Eurozone and on country …-specific economic issues. We find that an increasing share of news about the Eurozone reduces yield spreads, especially when the news …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892159

Central Bank Policies and Financial Markets : Lessons from the Euro Crisis

Mody, Ashoka - 2019

The European Central Bank (ECB) took many measures to combat the eurozone’s rolling financial crisis. For providing … desperately scarce dollars to eurozone banks, the ECB relied on the U.S. Federal Reserve. Using a novel econometric framework, we … October 2009 and September 2012, the most intense phase of the eurozone crisis. Dollar liquidity clearly reduced stress in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892183