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Mayer, Thomas; Schnabl, Gunther - 2022

The paper analyses the reasons for Japan’s persistently low inflation since the bursting of the Japanese bubble economy (low inflation conundrum). It is shown that Japan experienced a structural break from a high-growth period with relatively high inflation to a low-growth period with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081262

The Term Structure of Interest Rates in a Heterogeneous Monetary Union

Costain, James; Nuño, Galo; Thomas, Carlos - 2022

We build a no-arbitrage model of the yield curves in a heterogeneous monetary union with sovereign default risk, which can account for the asymmetric shifts in euro area yields during the Covid-19 pandemic. We derive an affine term structure solution, and decompose yields into term premium and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080055

The Effect of News Shocks and Monetary Policy

Görtz, Christoph - 2019

A VAR model estimated on U.S. data before and after 1980 documents systematic differences in the response of short- and long-term interest rates, corporate bond spreads and durable spending to news TFP shocks. Interest rates across the maturity spectrum broadly increase in the pre-1980s and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889175

What Do Central Bankers Do? Evidence from the European Central Banks' Executive Board

Badinger, Harald - 2019

This paper examines how managers at the top of a public institution, central bank executives, allocate their working time. Using detailed information from personal diaries of the six members of the European Central Bank’s Executive Board over a period of two years, we codify and analyze more...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892122

Central Bank Policies and Financial Markets : Lessons from the Euro Crisis

Mody, Ashoka - 2019

The European Central Bank (ECB) took many measures to combat the eurozone’s rolling financial crisis. For providing … desperately scarce dollars to eurozone banks, the ECB relied on the U.S. Federal Reserve. Using a novel econometric framework, we … October 2009 and September 2012, the most intense phase of the eurozone crisis. Dollar liquidity clearly reduced stress in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892183

Macroeconomic Policy Making and Current Account Imbalances in the Euro Area

Murai, Taiki; Schnabl, Gunther - 2021

The paper analyses the role of fiscal and monetary policy for the development of the current account imbalances in the euro area, including the most recent developments during the coronavirus crisis. Several financial transmission channels such as international bank lending, changes in TARGET2...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221180

Unemployment in the Euro Area and Unconventional Monetary Policy Surprises

Hülsewig, Oliver; Rottmann, Horst - 2022

We examine the impact of the European Central Bank’s monetary policy on the euro area labor markets over the period 2010-2018. Using Jordà’s (2005) local projection method, we find that unemployment rates decline in response to expansionary monetary policy surprises that can be related to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241612

The Effects of Monetary Policy Surprises and Fiscal Sustainability Regimes in the Euro Area

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Ionta, Serena - 2023

We study the effect of monetary surprise shocks on real output and the price level, conditioned on different fiscal sustainability regimes in the period 2001Q4-2021Q4. First, we estimate time-varying fiscal sustainability coefficients based on Bohn’s (1998) approach through Schlicht’s (2003)...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346445

On the Use of Current or Forward-Looking Data in Monetary Policy : A Behavioural Macroeconomic Approach

De Grauwe, Paul; Ji, Yuemei - 2021

We analyse the use of current and forward-looking data in the setting of monetary policy (Taylor rule). We answer the question of whether the use of forward-looking data is to be preferred over the use of current data. We use a behavioural macroeconomic model that generates periods of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249662

Euro Area House Prices and Unconventional Monetary Policy Surprises

Hülsewig, Oliver; Rottmann, Horst - 2021

This paper examines the reaction of house prices in a panel of euro area countries to monetary policy surprises over the period 2010-2019. Using Jordà’s (2005) local projection method, we find that real house prices rise in response to expansionary monetary policy shocks that can be related...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229702