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information provided by a Taylor rule model in which real time expected inflation and output are used. We use five indicators of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274048
and inflation in the member countries. Stress in a country is defined as the difference between the country's actual short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276206
aggregate demand gains momentum. If inflation also has inertia, the central bank still overheats the economy during the low …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177637
experiment of the past decade, stemming from a belief of the government that higher interest rates cause higher inflation … eventually a negative coefficient on inflation in the policy rule. In such an environment, was the exchange rate still a random … walk? Was inflation anchored? Does the “standard model” suffice to explain the broad contours of macroeconomic outcomes in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083478
This paper studies exchange rate pass-through to food and energy consumer price inflation and its dependence on the … inflation environment using cross-country panel estimation of Phillips curves. It considers a large panel of OECD member and … inflation and also significant for food CPI inflation. A 10% depreciation in the exchange rate leads to an increase in energy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290074
excess liquidity reminiscent of the global inflation generated by the weak dollar in the 1970s. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275871
This paper analyses the determinants of short-term inflation expectations based on surveys of professionals, using … dynamic cross-country panel estimation for a large number of 34 OECD economies. We find that food consumer price inflation and … depreciations of the domestic exchange rate have significant positive effects on professionals' survey-based inflation expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177519
This paper studies the causal effect of inflation literacy on inflation expectations and trust in the central bank …, we first test the effect of non-numerical information about inflation and monetary policy, the literacy treatment. In the … the literacy treatment, incorporate quantitative information differently into their inflation forecasts. We find that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346849
to the share of the term in office elapsed, political and regime instability, the occurrence of elections, and inflation … independence. This is confirmed in models for cross-section inflation in which TOR becomes insignificant once its endogeneity is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316991
We build a tractable stylized model of external sovereign debt and endogenous international interest rates. In corrupt economies with rent-seeking groups stealing public resources, a politico-economic equilibrium is characterized by permanent fiscal impatience which leads to excessive issuing of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277405