Showing 1 - 10 of 3,339
introduced in periods when monetary tightening prevailed? Since economic theory usually pays attention to the steady state change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861428
We investigate regime-dependent Granger causality between real output, inflation and monetary indicators and map with U.S. Fed Chairperson's tenure since 1965. While all monetary indicators have causal predictive content in certain time periods, we report that the Federal Funds rate (FFR) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843426
We estimate a logit mixture vector autoregressive model describing monetary policy transmission in the euro area over the period 2003Q1–2019Q4 with a special emphasis on credit conditions. With the help of this model, monetary policy transmission can be described as mixture of two states...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314851
High-frequency changes in interest rates around FOMC announcements are an important tool for identifying the effects of monetary policy on asset prices and the macroeconomy. However, some recent studies have questioned both the exogeneity and the relevance of these monetary policy surprises as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293850
We study the information flow from the ECB on policy dates since its inception, using tick data. We show that three factors capture about all of the variation in the yield curve but that these are different factors with different variance shares in the window that contains the policy decision...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867012
particular, using panel vector autoregressive (VAR) models we analyze whether banks increased their domestic government bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838235
For the academic audience, this paper presents the outcome of a well-identified, large change in the monetary policy rule from the lens of a standard New Keynesian model and asks whether the model properly captures the effects. For policymakers, it presents a cautionary tale of the dismal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083478
We estimate a Heterogeneous-Agent New Keynesian model with sticky household expectations that matches existing microeconomic evidence on marginal propensities to consume and macroeconomic evidence on the impulse response to a monetary policy shock. Our estimated model uncovers a central role for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842965
We propose a novel identification strategy to measure monetary policy in a structural VAR. It is based exclusively on known past policy shocks, which are uncovered from high-frequency data, and does not rely on any theoretical a-priori restrictions. Our empirical analysis for the euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822501
restriction that economic theory is not violated, while the shocks are still recursively identified. We solve this optimization … “almost recursively identified approach with parameter restrictions” leads to a solution that avoids an estimation bias …, generates theory-consistent impulse responses, and is as close as possible to the recursive scheme …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014262412