Showing 1 - 10 of 685
In this paper, we study the role of Confucius Institute in supporting internationalization of Chinese enterprises. Employing a panel dataset containing 66 Belt-Road countries and 75 non Belt-Road countries from 2006 to 2017, we find that the Confucius Institute has had a positive effect on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826003
We analyze how trade openness matters for interstate conflict over productive resources. Our analysis features a terms-of-trade channel that makes security policies trade-regime dependent. Specifically, trade between two adversaries reduces each one’s incentive to arm given the opponent’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892081
This paper provides evidence that the U.S. dollar affects countries’ exports through the financial channel of the exchange rate (Bruno and Shin (2015)). Using global data on trade between countries whose currency is not the U.S. dollar, it documents a positive relationship between the dollar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014347836
This paper develops a novel theory of capital mis-allocation within firms that stems from managers’ empire building and informational frictions within the organization. Introducing an internal capital market into a two-factor model of multi-segment firms, we show that international competition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312862
distinct impact of financial integration and globalization on several dimensions of real activity. We find that: (a) financial … financial integration predict better growth prospects; (c) both advances in financial integration and globalization are … financial integration and globalization indeed foster countries' growth, and there appears to be no trade-off between these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280851
World trade evolves at two margins. Where a bilateral trading relationship already exists it may increase through time (intensive margin). But trade may also increase if a trading bilateral relationship is newly established between countries that have not traded with each other in the past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274453
We develop a network trade model with country-sector level input-output linkages. It includes (1) domestic and global value chain linkages between all country-sectors, (2) direct as well as indirect shipments (via other sectors and countries) to a final destination, (3) value added rather than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892112
This paper evaluates alternative indicators of global economic activity and other market fundamentals in terms of their usefulness for forecasting real oil prices and global petroleum consumption. We find that world industrial production is one of the most useful indicators that has been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834350
We estimate a three-variate VAR using proxies of global financial uncertainty, the global financial cycle, and world industrial production to simulate the effects of the jump in financial uncertainty observed in correspondence of the Covid-19 outbreak. We predict the cumulative loss in world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834352
decades can explain increasing resistance to globalization in industrialized countries. In a traditional trade model of a … analysis indicates that, in contrast to past episodes of globalization, public education does not shield workers from losses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865702