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This paper investigates the role of testing and age-composition in the Covid-19 epidemic. We augment a standard SIR epidemiological model with individual choices regarding how much time to spend working and consuming outside the house, both of which increase the risk of transmission. Individuals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832194
We propose the relaxation algorithm as a simple and powerful method for simulating the transition process in growth models. This method has a number of important advantages: (1) It can easily deal with a wide range of dynamic systems including stiff differential equations and systems giving rise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263935
The transition paths from plan to market have varied markedly across countries. Central and Eastern European and the Baltic countries, which opted for a fast and profound transformation of their institutions including business climates, rapidly narrowed the productivity gap with advanced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273819
first-order approximated solution built by perturbation methods accounts for risk. We show that risk matters economically in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834991
We model the evolution of the number of individuals that are reported to be sick with COVID-19 in Germany. Our theoretical framework builds on a continuous time Markov chain with four states: healthy without infection, sick, healthy after recovery or after infection but without symptoms and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012207948
Many countries consider the lifting of restrictions of social contacts (RSC). We quantify the effects of RSC for Germany. We initially employ a purely statistical approach to predicting prevalence of COVID19 if RSC were upheld after April 20. We employ these findings and feed them into our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208007
This paper investigates the role of testing and age-composition in the Covid-19 epidemic. We augment a standard SIR epidemiological model with individual choices regarding how much time to spend working and consuming outside the house, both of which increase the risk of transmission. Individuals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012227656
Many countries consider the lifting of restrictions of social contacts (RSC). We quantify the effects of RSC for Germany. We initially employ a purely statistical approach to predicting prevalence of COVID19 if RSC were upheld after April 20. We employ these findings and feed them into our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835655
We model the evolution of the number of individuals that are reported to be sick with COVID-19 in Germany. Our theoretical framework builds on a continuous time Markov chain with four states: healthy without infection, sick, healthy after recovery or after infection but without symptoms and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837989
equilibrium (DSGE) models. Given the structure of DSGE models it may be difficult to determine whether a parameter is identified … not suffer from this difficulty and are relatively easy to compute. The first applies to DSGE models where the parameters … estimators. These results are illustrated by means of simple DSGE models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276281