Showing 1 - 10 of 2,269
We measure the economic risk of epidemics at a geo-spatially detailed resolution. In addition to data about the …'s resilience (its ability of the recover rapidly from the shock). We find that the economic risk of epidemics is particularly high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844211
This paper introduces the probabilistic formulation of continuous-time economic models: forward stochastic differential equations (SDE) govern the dynamics of backward-looking variables, and backward SDEs capture that of forward-looking variables. Deep learning streamlines the search for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014345557
We develop a novel firm-level measure of cybersecurity risk using textual analysis of cybersecurity-risk disclosures in … corporate filings. The measure successfully identifies firms extensively discussing cybersecurity risk in their 10-K, displays … intuitive relations with quantitative measures of cybersecurity risk disclosure language, exhibits a positive trend over time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314803
Using a long-panel dataset of Japanese firms that contains firm-level sales forecasts, we provide evidence on firm-level uncertainty and imperfect information over their life cycle. We find that firms make non-negligible and positively correlated forecast errors. However, they make more precise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826001
We assess to which degree an international transfer mechanism can enhance consumption risk sharing as well as … analyze the changing dynamics that a EUBS brings about. We find that a EUBS can provide risk sharing by stabilizing relative …-spending shocks. Yet, since this trade-off between allocative efficiency and consumption risk sharing does not exist after certain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236196
We study how background health risk affects financial risk-taking. We elicit financial risk-taking behavior of a … infections across time and space, we find that an increase in infections affecting background health risk translates into higher … financial risk-taking, and for the alleviating effect of self-insurance devices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357514
This paper studies the impact of financial sector size and leverage on the business cycle and risk-free rates dynamics …. We develop a general equilibrium model of a productive economy where financial intermediaries provide costly risk … cycle fluctuations, while providing households with a risk-free asset whose real return is pro-cyclical and possibly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848320
choose their portfolio risk, bank size, and capital holdings. Banks voluntarily hold equity when the buffer effect against … the risk of default outweighs the cost advantages of debt financing. In the optimum, banks with lower monitoring costs are … to make higher-risk portfolios more attractive. Accounting for banks’ interior capital choices can thus explain why …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013308111
This paper introduces a formal definition and an experimental measurement of the concept of cognitive uncertainty … explain a set of behavioral anomalies identified across four distinct domains of decision-making: choice under risk, choice … risk and ambiguity, belief updating, and survey expectations. Our framework makes predictions that we test using exogenous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857912
This paper studies the relevance of cognitive uncertainty – subjective uncertainty over one’s utility-maximizing action – for understanding and predicting intertemporal choice. The main idea is that when people are cognitively noisy, such as when a decision is complex, they implicitly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311701