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Central Bank Policies and Financial Markets : Lessons from the Euro Crisis

Mody, Ashoka - 2019

The European Central Bank (ECB) took many measures to combat the eurozone’s rolling financial crisis. For providing … desperately scarce dollars to eurozone banks, the ECB relied on the U.S. Federal Reserve. Using a novel econometric framework, we … October 2009 and September 2012, the most intense phase of the eurozone crisis. Dollar liquidity clearly reduced stress in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892183

The Euro Crisis and Economic Growth : A Novel Counterfactual Approach

Terzi, Alessio - 2019

warranted. To make this claim, this paper uses a Propensity Score Matching Model to produce counterfactuals for the Eurozone … more in the Eurozone periphery than in the standard counterfactual scenario. These results are not dictated by any specific … Eurozone's specificity, which is instead to be traced back to a sharper-than-expected contraction in investment and fiscal …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866042

Predictive ability of business cycle indicators under test: A case study for the euro area industrial production

Carstensen, Kai; Wohlrabe, Klaus; Ziegler, Christina - 2010

In this paper we assess the information content of seven widely cited early indicators for the euro area with respect to forecasting area-wide industrial production. To this end, we use various tests that are designed to compare competing forecast models. In addition to the standard...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270868

The impact of fiscal rules on public finances: Theory and empirical evidence for the Euro area

Marneffe, Wim; van Aarle, Bas; van der Wielen, Wouter; … - 2010

This paper presents a review of the most significant fiscal rules policymakers can choose from. The insights from this review are then applied to the current budgetary situation of the European Union. In the European Union, the supranational Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) should provide the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274725

Loan supply shocks during the financial crisis: Evidence for the Euro Area

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2011

This paper employs a panel vector autoregressive model for the member countries of the Euro Area to explore the role of banks during the slump of the real economy that followed the financial crisis. In particular, we seek to quantify the macroeconomic effects of adverse loan supply shocks, which...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274998

Capital importers pay more for their imports

Adam, Antonis; Moutos, Thomas - 2012

We examine the effects that a country's net capital flows have on the (border) prices that a country pays for its imports of goods. Using data from 2000 to 2009 for 11 euro area countries we utilize a pricing-to-market specification to study exporters' pricing behavior to the rest of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280800

Fiscal spillovers in the Euro area

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Girardi, Alessandro - 2011

This paper analyses the dynamic effects of fiscal imbalances in a given EMU member state on the borrowing costs of other countries in the euro area. The estimation of a multivariate, multi-country time series model (specifically a Global VAR, or GVAR) using quarterly data for the EMU period...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280818

The interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the global financial crisis

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2012

This paper uses panel vector autoregressive models and simulations of an estimated DSGE model to explore the reaction of Euro-area banks to the global financial crisis. We focus on their interest-rate setting behavior in response to standard macroeconomic shocks. Our main empirical finding is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288717

The tragedy of the commons and inflation bias in the euro area

Dinger, Valeriya; Steinkamp, Sven; Westermann, Frank - 2012

Central bank credit has expanded dramatically in some of the euro area member countries since the beginning of the financial crisis. This paper makes two contributions to understand this stylized fact. First, we discuss a simple model of monetary policy that includes (i) a credit channel and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291566

The Term Structure of Interest Rates in a Heterogeneous Monetary Union

Costain, James; Nuño, Galo; Thomas, Carlos - 2022

We build a no-arbitrage model of the yield curves in a heterogeneous monetary union with sovereign default risk, which can account for the asymmetric shifts in euro area yields during the Covid-19 pandemic. We derive an affine term structure solution, and decompose yields into term premium and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080055