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Backlash in Attitudes after the Election of Extreme Political Parties

Carlsson, Magnus - 2018

from the right and one from the left, using panel data from 290 municipal election districts. To identify causal effects … incumbency advantage in the next election. Exploring possible mechanisms, we find evidence that when the anti-immigrant party … wins a marginal seat, they experience higher levels of politician turnover before the next election and receive negative …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908687

Vote Buying in the US Congress

Matter, Ulrich - 2019

We assess the influence of moneyed interests on legislative decisions. Our theory predicts that the vote outcome distribution and donation flows in a legislature feature a discontinuity at the approval threshold of bills if special interest groups are involved in vote buying. Testing the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861433

Politicians' Payments in a Proportional Party System

Berg, Heléne - 2019

Is politics a lucrative business? The question is approached in this paper, as one of few to quantify the monetary returns to holding political office in a typical developed democracy where parties are the main political actors. By applying a difference-in-difference setting with a carefully...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892297

Voting and Political Participation in the Aftermath of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic

Mansour, Hani - 2020

This is the first study to examine the effect of experiencing a widespread, deadly epidemic on voting behavior. Using data on elections to the U.S House of Representatives and leveraging cross-district variation in HIV/AIDS mortality during the period 1983-1987, we document the effects of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827671

Does Party Competition Affect Political Activism?

Hager, Anselm - 2020

field experiment with a European party during a national election. In a seemingly unrelated party survey, we randomly …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012828110

How Does Party Discipline Affect Legislative Behavior? Evidence from Within-Session Variation in Lame Duck Status

Fiva, Jon H.; Nedregård, Oda - 2022

-in-discontinuity design, we study how shocks to incumbents’ re-election probabilities affect legislative behavior in a setting where parties …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292047

Dancing with the Populist. New Parties, Electoral Rules and Italian Municipal Elections

Bordignon, Massimo; Colussi, Tommaso - 2021

This paper develops a theoretical framework that makes predictions on (a) the conditions under which a populist party decides to run and the policy position it takes and (b) voters’ response under different electoral systems. We test these predictions using data on Italian municipal elections...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315179

Election Turnout Inequality - Insights from Administrative Registers

Bratsberg, Bernt - 2019

Using matched administrative election data from Norway, we document gender-specific turnout rates by a range of socio … across but not within generations. Election turnout inequality implies that voters differ from the electorate at large along …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892123

Measuring the Competitiveness of Elections

Cox, Gary W. - 2019

The concept of electoral competition plays a central role in many subfields of political science, but no consensus exists on how to measure it. One key challenge is how to conceptualize and measure electoral competitiveness at the district level across alternative electoral systems. Recent...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892168

Electoral Cycles in Macroeconomic Forecasts

Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - 2021

This paper documents the existence of Political Forecast Cycles. In a theoretical model of political selection, we show that governments release overly optimistic GDP growth forecasts ahead of elections to increase the reelection probability. The bias arises from lack of commitment if voters are...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226657