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Did Trump's Trade War Impact the 2018 Election?

Blanchard, Emily; Bown, Chad P.; Chor, Davin - 2021

We find that Republican candidates lost support in the 2018 congressional election in counties more exposed to trade retaliation, but saw no commensurate electoral gains from US tariff protection. The electoral losses were driven by retaliatory tariffs on agricultural products, and were only...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315251

Trade Blocs and Trade Wars During the Interwar Period

Jacks, David S. - 2019

work in reorienting global trade prior to the outbreak of World War II? And what lessons may this particular historical … China- and US-centric trade blocs …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866379

(Trade) War and Peace : How to Impose International Trade Sanctions

de Souza, Gustavo Henrique Bianco; Li, Haishi; Mei, Yuan; … - 2023

Trade sanctions are a common instrument of diplomatic retaliation. To guide current and future policy, we ask: What is the most cost-efficient way to impose trade sanctions against Russia? We build a quantitative model of international trade with input-output connections. Sanctioning countries...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348044

The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Persistence in the European Stock Markets

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A.; … - 2021

This paper analyses the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the degree of persistence of European stock markets. Specifically, it uses fractional integration methods to estimate persistence at the daily, weekly and monthly frequencies in the case of ten major European stock market indices; the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322780

The Smoot-Hawley Trade War

Mitchener, Kris; Wandschneider, Kirsten; O'Rourke, … - 2021

We document the outbreak of a trade war after the U.S. adopted the Smoot-Hawley tariff in June 1930. U.S. trade partners initially protested the possible implementation of the sweeping tariff legislation, with many eventually choosing to retaliate by increasing their tariffs on imports from the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236195

The Economic Effects of International Sanctions : An Event Study

Gutmann, Jerg; Neuenkirch, Matthias; Neumeier, Florian - 2021

Although international sanctions are a widely used instrument of coercion, their economic effects are still not fully understood. This study uses a novel dataset and an event study approach to evaluate the economic consequences of international sanctions, thereby accounting for pre-treatment...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013232415

Cryptocurrencies, Technology Stocks, COVID-19 and US Policy Responses : A Fractional Integration Analysis

Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins; Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; … - 2022

This paper assesses the impact of US policy responses to the Covid-19 pandemic on various cryptocurrencies and also technology stocks using fractional integration techniques. More precisely, it analyses the behaviour of the percentage returns in the case of nine major coins (Bitcoin - BITC,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296442

Stock Market Linkages between the ASEAN Countries, China and the Us : A Fractional Cointegration Approach

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria - 2019

This paper examines stock market integration between the ASEAN five and the US and China, respectively, over the period … analysis is carried out for the weekly series to study the impact of the 2007-8 global financial crisis and the 2015 China … exhibit long memory. There is cointegration between the ASEAN five and the US but almost none between the former and China …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891049

Tariffs and Politics : Evidence from Trump's Trade Wars

Fetzer, Thiemo - 2019

escalation between the US, China, the European Union (EU) and the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) countries to answer … was optimally chosen using a novel simulation approach constructing counterfactual retaliation responses. For China and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890196

The 2020 Us Presidential Election and Trump's Trade War

Lake, James; Nie, Jun - 2022

The trade war initiated by the Trump administration is the largest since the US imposed the Smoot-Hawley tariffs in the 1930s and was still raging when he left office. We analyze how the trade war impacted the 2020 US Presidential election. Our results highlight the political salience of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293028