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A Comparison of Regret Theory and Salience Theory for Decisions under Risk

Herweg, Fabian - 2020

Two non-transitive theories to model decision making under risk are regret theory (Loomes and Sugden, 1982, 1987) and … salience theory (Bordalo, Gennaioli, and Shleifer, 2012). While the psychological underpinning of these two approaches is … of choice behavior. We investigate the overlap between these theories and show that original regret theory (Loomes and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850081

Cognitive Uncertainty in Intertemporal Choice

Enke, Benjamin; Graeber, Thomas Wilhelm - 2021

when a decision is complex, they implicitly treat different time delays to some degree alike. By experimentally measuring … when the decision environment is more complex. Third, cognitive uncertainty matters for choice architecture: people who are …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013311701

Cognitive Uncertainty

Enke, Benjamin - 2019

explain a set of behavioral anomalies identified across four distinct domains of decision-making: choice under risk, choice … risk and ambiguity, belief updating, and survey expectations. Our framework makes predictions that we test using exogenous …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857912

Policy Coordination Under Model Disagreement and Uncertainty

Hefeker, Carsten - 2019

What are the incentives for governments to coordinate their policies internationally when there is model disagreement and uncertainty? We build a model where countries disagree on policy targets and how policies affect the economies, and show that uncertainty not only determines the type of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892108

The Impact of Aggregate Uncertainty on Firm-Level Uncertainty

Easaw, Joshy Z.; Grimme, Christian - 2021

We analyse the extent to which firm-level uncertainty is affected by aggregate uncertainty. Firm-level uncertainty is constructed from a large and monthly panel dataset of manufacturing firms. We find that aggregate uncertainty has a positive and robust impact on firm-level uncertainty. This...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239562

Ambiguous Protection

Gründler, Klaus; Hillman, Arye L. - 2021

Import regulations are globally the most prevalent form of intervention in international trade. The regulations should, under rules of the WTO, protect consumers and the environment but can be used to protect producers. We investigate the ambiguity of intent. We set out a model that when applied...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246466

Investment Responses to Tax Policy Under Uncertainty

Guceri, Irem - 2019

How does economic uncertainty affect the impact of tax policy? We exploit a natural experiment in which two very …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859606

Policy Competition, Imitation and Coordination Under Uncertainty

Hefeker, Carsten - 2022

The paper analyzes under what circumstances policymakers experiment with policies with uncertain outcomes, when they …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289693

Sectoral Uncertainty

Castelnuovo, Efrem; Tuzcuoglu, Kerem; Uzeda, Luis - 2022

We propose a new empirical framework that jointly decomposes the conditional variance of economic time series into a common and a sector-specific uncertainty component. We apply our framework to a large dataset of disaggregated industrial production series for the US economy. Our results...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243086

Looming Large or Seeming Small? Attitudes Towards Losses in a Representative Sample

Chapman, Jonathan; Snowberg, Erik; Wang, Stephanie; … - 2022

We measure individual-level loss aversion using three incentivized, representative surveys of the U.S. population (combined N = 3,000). We find that around 50% of the U.S. population is loss tolerant, with many participants accepting negative-expected-value gambles. This is counter to earlier...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081263