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The ‘saving for a rainy day’ hypothesis implies that households’ saving decisions reflect that they can (rationally) predict future income declines. The empirical relevance of this hypothesis plays a key role in discussions of fiscal policy multipliers and it holds under the null that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010531814
We demonstrate that heat inhibits learning and that school air-conditioning mitigates this effect. Student fixed effects models using 10 million PSAT-retakers show hotter school days in years before the test reduce scores, with extreme heat being particularly damaging. Weekend and summer heat...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892281
We investigate the role of crude oil spot and futures prices in the process of price discovery by using a cost-of-carry model with an endogenous convenience yield and daily data over the period from January 1990 to December 2008. We provide evidence that futures markets play a more important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270503
operandi to analyze the time series characteristics of interest rates and to test for common features. We conduct cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264545
monthly) are analysed using fractional integration and fractional cointegration methods. Further, recursive cointegration … exhibit long memory. There is cointegration between the ASEAN five and the US but almost none between the former and China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891049
This paper applies fractional integration and cointegration methods to examine respectively the univariate properties …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239604
22 stock indices are analysed applying fractional integration/cointegration methods to daily data, first for a sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241989
asymmetries of savings out of factor incomes. This generalized model helps to shed new light on a recent debate concerning the … the particular savings hypothesis. However, if savings out of capital income are substantial so that a certain threshold …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316692
Aggregate business investment is a major driver of long-term economic growth. It has been weak in many advanced … policies interact with and have an effect on business investment. This paper provides a survey of the literature on the main … policy drivers of business investment such as finance (including bank and market finance, venture capital and the debt bias …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223661
We argue that, under certain conditions, firms consider exports as a substitute for domestic demand. Our econometric model for six euro area countries suggests domestic demand and capacity constraints as additional variables for export equations. We apply the exponential and logistic variant of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307117