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This paper examines the long-run dynamics and the cyclical structure of various series related to the US stock market using fractional integration. We implement a procedure which enables one to consider unit roots with possibly fractional orders of integration both at the zero (long-run) and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316966
This paper is concerned with problem of variable selection and forecasting in the presence of parameter instability. There are a number of approaches proposed for forecasting in the presence of breaks, including the use of rolling windows or exponential down-weighting. However, these studies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825993
operandi to analyze the time series characteristics of interest rates and to test for common features. We conduct cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264545
This paper extends the cross sectionally augmented panel unit root test proposed by Pesaran (2007) to the case of a multifactor error structure. The basic idea is to exploit information regarding the unobserved factors that are shared by other time series in addition to the variable under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316613
This paper provides a review of the literature on unit roots and cointegration in panels where the time dimension (T … degrees, the dependence that might prevail across the different units in the panel. In the analysis of cointegration the … hypothesis testing and estimation problems are further complicated by the possibility of cross section cointegration which could …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276171
This paper examines the long-run dynamics and the cyclical structure of various series related to the US stock market using fractional integration. We implement a procedure which enables one to consider unit roots with possibly fractional orders of integration both at the zero (long-run) and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264167
monthly) are analysed using fractional integration and fractional cointegration methods. Further, recursive cointegration … exhibit long memory. There is cointegration between the ASEAN five and the US but almost none between the former and China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012891049
This paper applies fractional integration and cointegration methods to examine respectively the univariate properties …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014239604
22 stock indices are analysed applying fractional integration/cointegration methods to daily data, first for a sample …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014241989
We develop a method for directly modeling cointegrated multivariate time series that are observed in mixed frequencies. We regard lower-frequency data as regularly (or irregularly) missing and treat them with higher-frequency data by adopting a state-space model. This utilizes the structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264085