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infinite-horizon learning, and subjective expectations with Euler-equation learning. Under rational expectations, the model … necessitates of large, possibly unrealistically so, degrees of myopia. The same result persists under infinite-horizon learning …, given that agents are still remarkably farsighted. But, under Euler-equation learning, the model can fit the data with only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229788
The adaptive learning approach has been fruitfully employed to model the formation of aggregate expectations at the … macroeconomic level, as an alternative to rational expectations. This paper uses adaptive learning to understand, instead, the … sentiment, defined as the degrees of excess optimism and pessimism that cannot be justified by the near-rational learning model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831652
We document substantial cross-sectional heterogeneity of German establishments’ real wage cyclicality over the business cycle. While wages of the median establishment are moderately procyclical, 36 percent of establishments have countercyclical wages. We estimate a negative connection between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212779
density function with higher density and thereby generate large, asymmetric job-finding rate and unemployment reactions. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451421
This paper provides new estimates of Okun’s unemployment-output relationship in euro area countries between 1979 and … characterise the literature and that the responsiveness of output to unemployment is driven by idiosyncratic factors in both euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015097157
economy permanently operates below capacity due to both structural unemployment and underemployment. The latter is a direct … demand and supply shocks are opposite to those of the standard case and result in a co-movement of unemployment and … explain movements of unemployment and underemployment in opposite directions. Finally, we show that fluctuations in the total …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832192
unemployment and its duration distribution. Using the SIPP, we document the relation between workers' (gross and net) occupational … mobility and unemployment duration over the long run and business cycle. To interpret this evidence, we develop an analytically … countercyclical net occupational mobility, the large volatility of unemployment and the cyclical properties of the unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833736
This paper develops a sufficient statistics approach for estimating the role of search frictions in wage dispersion and lifecycle wage growth. We show how the wage dynamics of displaced workers are directly informative of both for a large class of search models. Specifically, the correlation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314890
In a multi-country general equilibrium economy with mobile capital and rigid-wage unemployment, countries may differ in … conditions under which - in contrast to free trade with undistorted labor markets - welfare declines and unemployment increases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265967
We build an analytically and computationally tractable stochastic equilibrium model of unemployment in heterogeneous … countercyclical unemployment, and is simultaneously consistent with procyclical reallocation, countercyclical separations and a … negatively-sloped Beveridge curve. Moreover, the model exhibits unemployment duration dependence, which (when calibrated to long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291522