Showing 1 - 10 of 1,193
We analyse how movements in the components of sovereign bond yields in the United States affect long-term rates in 10 advanced and 21 emerging economies. The paper documents significant global spillovers from both the expectations and term premia components of long-term rates in the United...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860570
This paper analyses persistence and non-linearities in quarterly and monthly US Treasury 10-year bond yields over the period 1962-2021 using two different fractional integration approaches including Chebyshev polynomials and Fourier functions respectively. The results for both quarterly and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306037
Using Credit Default Swap spreads, we construct a forward-looking, market-implied carbon risk factor and show that … carbon risk affects firms’ credit spread. The effect is larger for European than North American firms and varies … to carbon risk when market-wide concern about climate change risk is elevated. Finally, lenders expect that adjustments …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014243102
We identify a common misconception that expected future changes in short-term interest rates predict corresponding future changes in long-term interest rates. People forecast similar shapes for the paths of short and long rates over the next four quarters. This is a mistake because long rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015211333
representative agent is prudent (u ' > 0), because of the increased risk that it yields for the distant future. A similar definition …-Ingersoll-Ross model, with the opposite comparative static property holding under temperance (u ' < 0), because the change in downside risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261120
bond yields in the European Union. Our model predicts that risk premia contained in government bond spreads should increase … two signals depends on the transparency of the country. Greater transparency reduces risk premia. The empirical results … confirm the hypotheses. Creative accounting increases the spread. The increase of the risk premium is stronger if financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263922
In this paper we re-investigate the comovements of interest rates in the G7-countries. We propose a structured modus operandi to analyze the time series characteristics of interest rates and to test for common features. We conduct cointegration, serial correlation common feature and codependence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264545
probabilities are adjusted for risk, the two approaches are identical. What we would wish a reader to take away from this paper is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274007
This paper analyses the determinants and effects of ECB interventions in times of severe distress. We focus on the Greek government bond market in mid-2010 and use a unique new dataset to show, for the first time, what type of bonds the ECB bought. We then explore the short-term effects of ECB...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010352423
Restrictions on the risk-pricing in dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) can unleash the power of no-arbitrage by … econometric framework for estimation of affine Gaussian DTSMs under restrictions on risk prices, which addresses the issues of a … the U.S. Treasury yield curve. The data strongly favor tight restrictions on risk pricing: only level risk is priced, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500406