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Rising to the Challenge : Bayesian Estimation and Forecasting Techniques for Macroeconomic Agent-Based Models

Delli Gatti, Domenico - 2019

We propose two novel methods to "bring ABMs to the data". First, we put forward a new Bayesian procedure to estimate the numerical values of ABM parameters that takes into account the time structure of simulated and observed time series. Second, we propose a method to forecast aggregate time...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012860573

Corruption Under Austerity

Daniele, Gianmarco; Giommoni, Tommaso - 2021

We study how policies limiting the spending capacity of local governments may reduce corruption. We exploit the extension of one such policy, the Domestic Stability Pact (DSP), to small Italian municipalities. The DSP led to a decrease in both recorded corruption rates and corruption charges per...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013244240

Young Voters and Budget Deficits

Nyhus, Ole Henning; Strøm, Bjarne - 2023

This paper exploits a novel trial in Norwegian local elections in 2011 to provide empirical evidence on fiscal performance from lowering the minimum voting age from 18 to 16. Using a difference in differences research strategy, we find that this voting age change reduced the net operating...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014357513

Measuring the Competitiveness of Elections

Cox, Gary W. - 2019

The concept of electoral competition plays a central role in many subfields of political science, but no consensus …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892168

Political Competitiveness, Regression Discontinuity and the Incumbency Effect

Archambault, Jerome; Winer, Stanley L. - 2023

In an RDD study of the incumbency effect, observations somewhat away from the threshold separating winners and losers in an election are necessarily employed. We consider how incorporating the vote volatility of elections into a preferred index of electoral competitiveness or closeness, in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358105

Political Competitiveness and Fiscal Structure : A Time Series Analysis. Canada, 1870 - 2015

Ferris, J. Stephen - 2018

We investigate the extent to which the intensity of political competition moderates the governance issues that arise in … competition in and between national parliamentary elections: the size of the majority of the governing party in the House; the … that greater political competition enhances fiscal stability, speeds up convergence of government size from above on …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908683

Taxing Moral Agents

Muñoz Sobrado, Esteban - 2022

Experimental and empirical findings suggest that non-pecuniary motivations play a significant role as determinants of taxpayers’ decision to comply with the tax authority and shape their perceptions and assessment of the tax code. By contrast, the canonical optimal income taxation model...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014079642

The Impact of Online Competition on Local Newspapers : Evidence from the Introduction of Craigslist

Djourelova, Milena; Durante, Ruben; Martin, Gregory - 2021

How does competition from online platforms affect the organization, performance, and editorial choices of newspapers … classified advertising - across US counties between 1995 and 2009. This setting allows us to separate the effect of competition …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226655

Gender Gaps in Political Careers : Evidence from Competitive Elections

Cipullo, Davide - 2021

This paper investigates the impact of voter support on the representation of women in the political profession. The empirical analysis exploits two-stage elections in the United States and Italy to hold the selection of candidates constant. In two-stage elections, candidates are admitted to the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227610

Young Voters and Budget Deficits

Nyhus, Ole Henning; Strøm, Bjarne - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014290298